Objectives: To correlate a CT-based semi-quantitative score of pulmonary involvement in COVID-19 pneumonia with clinical staging of disease and laboratory findings. We also aimed to investigate whether CT findings may be predictive of patients' outcome.
<strong class="sub-title"> Methods: </strong> From March 6 to March <em>2</em><em>2</em>, <em>2</em>0<em>2</em>0, 130 symptomatic SARS-CoV-<em>2</em> patients were enrolled for this single-center analysis and chest CT examinations were retrospectively evaluated. A semi-quantitative CT score was calculated based on the extent of lobar involvement (0:0%; 1, < 5%; <em>2</em>:5-<em>2</em>5%; 3:<em>2</em>6-50%; 4:51-75%; 5, > 75%; range 0-5; global score 0-<em>2</em>5). Data were matched with clinical stages and laboratory findings. Survival curves and univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to evaluate the role of CT score as a predictor of patients' outcome.
<strong class="sub-title"> Results: </strong> Ground glass opacities were predominant in early-phase (≤ 7 days since symptoms' onset), while crazy-paving pattern, consolidation, and fibrosis characterized late-phase disease (> 7 days). CT score was significantly higher in critical and severe than in mild stage (p < 0.0001), and among late-phase than early-phase patients (p < 0.0001). CT score was significantly correlated with CRP (p < 0.0001, r = 0.6<em>2</em>04) and D-dimer (p < 0.0001, r = 0.66<em>2</em>5) levels. A CT score of ≥ 18 was associated with an increased mortality risk and was found to be predictive of death both in univariate (HR, 8.33; 95% CI, 3.19-<em>2</em>1.73; p < 0.0001) and multivariate analysis (HR, 3.74; 95% CI, 1.10-1<em>2</em>.77; p = 0.0348).
<strong class="sub-title"> Conclusions: </strong> Our preliminary data suggest the potential role of CT score for predicting the outcome of SARS-CoV-<em>2</em> patients. CT score is highly correlated with laboratory findings and disease severity and might be beneficial to speed-up diagnostic workflow in symptomatic cases.
Key points: • CT score is positively correlated with age, inflammatory biomarkers, severity of clinical categories, and disease phases. • A CT score ≥ 18 has shown to be highly predictive of patient's mortality in short-term follow-up. • Our multivariate analysis demonstrated that CT parenchymal assessment may more accurately reflect short-term outcome, providing a direct visualization of anatomic injury compared with non-specific inflammatory biomarkers.
<strong class="sub-title"> Keywords: </strong> COVID-19; Pneumonia; Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus <em>2</em>; Tomography, X-ray computed.