Micropapillary or solid pattern predicts recurrence free survival benefit from adjuvant chemotherapy in patients with stage IB lung adenocarcinoma
Background
Our study aimed to evaluate the prognostic significance and adjuvant chemotherapy (ACT) benefits of a micropapillary/solid (MS) pattern in patients with stage IB lung adenocarcinoma.
Methods
Patients with pathologically-confirmed stage IB adenocarcinoma who underwent surgical resection between January 2009 and December 2011 were included. The tumors were reclassified into three categories: MS patterns absent (MS−); non-predominant MS patterns (MS+); predominant MS (MS++). The correlations of prognosis and ACT with recurrence-free survival (RFS) were evaluated.
Results
Overall, 497 (MS−, n=269; MS+, n=177; MS++, n=51) patients were enrolled in the study. In univariate analysis, the MS+ [hazard ratio (HR), 1.437; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.030–2.006; P=0.033] and MS++ (HR, 2.818; 95% CI, 1.792–4.432; P<0.001) groups had significantly poor prognosis compared with MS- group. Multivariate analysis revealed that age ≥65 (HR, 1.504; 95% CI, 1.077–2.099; P=0.017), serum level of carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) ≥10 ng/mL (HR, 1.658; 95% CI, 1.048–2.623; P=0.031) and MS++ (HR, 2.529; 95% CI, 1.550–4.126; P<0.001) were significant prognostic factors. Furthermore, subgroup analysis showed that MS++ patients but not MS− and MS+ derived RFS (recurrence-free survival) benefit from ACT (HR, 0.357; 95% CI, 0.152–0.836; P=0.018).
Conclusions
MS pattern successfully differentiated the prognosis difference among stage IB lung adenocarcinomas and identified patients who benefitted from ACT.
Introduction
Non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) is the leading cause of cancer-related death around the world (1). Tumor recurrence is the major cause of treatment failure after surgical resection for lung cancer (2). Several randomized controlled trials and meta-analysis (3-5) have demonstrated that adjuvant chemotherapy (ACT) considerably improved survival in patients with resected stage II and IIIA NSCLC. However, the benefit of ACT remains controversial for patients with resected stage IB NSCLC (6). Patients with tumor size >4 cm are recommended receiving ACT based on a prospective randomized clinical trial (6). However, according to the 8 tumor node metastasis (TNM) classification (7), the tumors with size >4 cm is not including in stage IB anymore. Therefore, re-evaluation of the necessity of ACT in stage IB lung adenocarcinoma is urgent.
Besides, the new classification recommends subtyping of invasive lung adenocarcinoma on the basis of the predominant histologic pattern presented in the resected tumor (8). This classification has been validated for its prognostic effect in stage I NSCLC (9-13), which formed the basis of the 2015 World Health Organization classification of lung tumors (14). Previous studies showed that invasive adenocarcinomas with predominant micropapillary or solid (MS) patterns were associated with poor prognosis and ACT benefits (15,16). In this study, we aimed to evaluate the predictive role of MS pattern in ACT for patients with stage IB lung adenocarcinoma.
Methods
Patients
The Shanghai Pulmonary Hospital institutional ethics committee approved this retrospective study (IRB No. K18-101). Between January 2009 and December 2010, all patients who underwent complete resection for pathological stage IB lung adenocarcinoma at Shanghai Pulmonary Hospital were retrospectively reviewed. Patients who had multiple primary lung cancers or incomplete follow-up data were excluded. The T and N descriptors were derived from pathological reports, and all patients were re-staged based on the 8 TNM classification (7). The platinum-based ACT (cisplatin plus docetaxel or pemetrexed) was performed in patients with high-risk factors including poor differentiated tumor, visceral pleural invasion, vascular invasion and wedge resection. Age, performance status and patients’ preference were also considered. No mortality related to chemotherapy was detected among the patients who underwent 4 cycles of ACT.
Patients were followed up every 3 months for the first year after the surgery and at 6-month intervals thereafter. For patients who were followed up in local health facilities, survival status and examination results were collected by telephone or email. Tumor locoregional recurrence or distant metastasis was diagnosed using chest computed tomography (CT), brain magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), and bone scintigraphy as well as ultrasound and/or abdominal CT. Recurrence-free survival (RFS) was defined as time length from surgery to tumor recurrence or the last follow-up.
Histologic evaluation
All specimens were formalin fixed and stained with hematoxylin and eosin (HE). Two pathologists retrospectively re-evaluated all slides together at a multi-headed microscope and discussed until consensus was achieved. According to the new IASLC/ATS/ERS classification (8,14), presence of each histological pattern component was recorded in 5% increments. The adenocarcinomas patterns were categorized as lepidic, papillary, acinar, micropapillary, solid (Figure 1). The invasive mucinous adenocarcinoma (n=2) and other variants subtypes (n=7) were excluded from the statistical analyses to focus on MS subtypes. The predominant pattern was defined as pattern with largest percentage. The tumors were classified into three categories: MS patterns absent (MS−); non-predominant MS patterns (MS+); predominant MS (MS++). All slides were assessed for visceral pleural invasion (VPI), and elastic stain was used if the results on HE sections were indeterminate.
Statistical analysis
Categorical variables were compared using the χ test and Fisher’s exact test as appropriate, and continuous variables were compared using independent t-test. RFS was assessed using the Kaplan-Meier method, with a log-rank test to determine the significance. Univariate and multivariate survival analysis were conducted using the Cox proportional hazards model. Variables with P≤0.1 in univariate analysis were entered into the multivariate analysis with a backward stepwise method, and variables with P<0.05 in the multivariate analysis remained in the model. All statistical analyses were performed using SPSS version 22.0 (IBM, Corporation, Armonk, NY, USA).
Patients
The Shanghai Pulmonary Hospital institutional ethics committee approved this retrospective study (IRB No. K18-101). Between January 2009 and December 2010, all patients who underwent complete resection for pathological stage IB lung adenocarcinoma at Shanghai Pulmonary Hospital were retrospectively reviewed. Patients who had multiple primary lung cancers or incomplete follow-up data were excluded. The T and N descriptors were derived from pathological reports, and all patients were re-staged based on the 8 TNM classification (7). The platinum-based ACT (cisplatin plus docetaxel or pemetrexed) was performed in patients with high-risk factors including poor differentiated tumor, visceral pleural invasion, vascular invasion and wedge resection. Age, performance status and patients’ preference were also considered. No mortality related to chemotherapy was detected among the patients who underwent 4 cycles of ACT.
Patients were followed up every 3 months for the first year after the surgery and at 6-month intervals thereafter. For patients who were followed up in local health facilities, survival status and examination results were collected by telephone or email. Tumor locoregional recurrence or distant metastasis was diagnosed using chest computed tomography (CT), brain magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), and bone scintigraphy as well as ultrasound and/or abdominal CT. Recurrence-free survival (RFS) was defined as time length from surgery to tumor recurrence or the last follow-up.
Histologic evaluation
All specimens were formalin fixed and stained with hematoxylin and eosin (HE). Two pathologists retrospectively re-evaluated all slides together at a multi-headed microscope and discussed until consensus was achieved. According to the new IASLC/ATS/ERS classification (8,14), presence of each histological pattern component was recorded in 5% increments. The adenocarcinomas patterns were categorized as lepidic, papillary, acinar, micropapillary, solid (Figure 1). The invasive mucinous adenocarcinoma (n=2) and other variants subtypes (n=7) were excluded from the statistical analyses to focus on MS subtypes. The predominant pattern was defined as pattern with largest percentage. The tumors were classified into three categories: MS patterns absent (MS−); non-predominant MS patterns (MS+); predominant MS (MS++). All slides were assessed for visceral pleural invasion (VPI), and elastic stain was used if the results on HE sections were indeterminate.
Architectural demonstration of five patterns of adenocarcinoma in the grading system: (A) lepidic; (B) acinar; (C) papillary; (D) micropapillary; and (E) solid. (HE stain, ×100).
Statistical analysis
Categorical variables were compared using the χ test and Fisher’s exact test as appropriate, and continuous variables were compared using independent t-test. RFS was assessed using the Kaplan-Meier method, with a log-rank test to determine the significance. Univariate and multivariate survival analysis were conducted using the Cox proportional hazards model. Variables with P≤0.1 in univariate analysis were entered into the multivariate analysis with a backward stepwise method, and variables with P<0.05 in the multivariate analysis remained in the model. All statistical analyses were performed using SPSS version 22.0 (IBM, Corporation, Armonk, NY, USA).
Results
Clinicopathologic characteristics
Baseline characteristics and clinical features of these patients are listed in Table 1. Four hundred and ninety-seven patients were included and 105 were excluded for the presence of multiple lung cancers (n=37), incomplete follow-up data (n=68). The median age at diagnosis was 61 years (range, 34–90 years), and most patients had no smoking history (n=398) with normal serum level of carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) (n=455). Tumor size was greater than 3 cm in 134 (27.0%) patients, and VPI was presented in 435 (87.5%) patients. Twenty-two (4.4%) patients underwent sublobar resection, which was more likely to be performed for older patients due to limited lung function. Among the 363 patients with tumor size less than 3 cm, 357 were staged as IB because of the existence of pleural invasion, and the other 6 were due to tumor invasion beyond lobar bronchus. Histopathological assessment shown that 269 (54.1%) patients were MS−; 177 (35.6%) were MS+; 51 (10.3%) were MS++. And the median percentage of MS component was 10% (5–25%) and 55% (25–75%) in the MS+ and MS++ group, respectively. Among all patients, ACT was performed in 149 (30.0%) patients. The ACT was significantly associated with older age (P=0.007) and MS pattern (P=0.007). The median follow-up time was 38.6 months (range, 1.7–96.6 months).
Table 1
| Characteristic | All patients (N=497) | Surgical intervention alone (N=348) | With adjuvant chemotherapy (N=149) | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Age, y, no. (%) | 0.007 | |||
| <65 | 355 (71.4) | 261 (75.0) | 94 (63.1) | |
| ≥65 | 142 (28.6) | 87 (25.0) | 55 (36.9) | |
| Sex, no. (%) | 0.356 | |||
| Female | 288 (57.9) | 197 (56.6) | 58 (38.9) | |
| Male | 209 (42.1) | 151 (43.4) | 91 (61.1) | |
| Smoking history, no. (%) | 0.680 | |||
| Yes | 99 (19.9) | 71 (20.4) | 28 (18.8) | |
| No | 398 (80.1) | 277 (79.6) | 121 (81.2) | |
| CEA (ng/mL), no. (%) | 0.886 | |||
| <10 | 455 (91.5) | 319 (91.7) | 136 (91.3) | |
| ≥10 | 42 (8.5) | 29 (8.3) | 13 (8.7) | |
| Tumor size (cm), no. (%) | 0.484 | |||
| ≤3 | 363 (73.0) | 251 (72.1) | 112 (75.2) | |
| >3 | 134 (27.0) | 97 (27.9) | 37 (24.8) | |
| Visceral pleural invasion, no. (%) | 0.057 | |||
| Absent | 62 (12.5) | 37 (10.6) | 25 (16.8) | |
| Present | 435 (87.5) | 311 (89.4) | 124 (83.2) | |
| Differentiation grade, no. (%) | <0.001 | |||
| Well | 147 (29.5) | 122 (35.1) | 25 (16.8) | |
| Moderately | 221 (44.5) | 148 (42.5) | 73 (49.0) | |
| Poorly | 129 (26.0) | 78 (22.4) | 51 (34.2) | |
| Surgical approach, no. (%) | 0.791 | |||
| VATS | 278 (55.9) | 196 (56.3) | 82 (55.0) | |
| Open thoracotomy | 219 (44.1) | 152 (43.7) | 67 (45.0) | |
| Type of resection, no. (%) | 0.167 | |||
| Sublobar resection | 22 (4.4) | 12 (3.4) | 10 (6.7) | |
| Lobectomy | 475 (95.6) | 336 (96.6) | 139 (93.3) | |
| Micropapillary/solid pattern, no. (%) | 0.007 | |||
| Absent | 269 (54.1) | 202 (58.0) | 67 (45.0) | |
| Non-predominant | 177 (35.6) | 118 (33.9) | 59 (39.6) | |
| Predominant | 51 (10.3) | 28 (8.0) | 23 (15.4) |
CEA, carcinoembryonic antigen; VATS, video-assisted thoracic surgery.
Prognostic value of MS pattern
During the follow-up, tumor recurrence was observed in 165 (33.2%) patients with 77 (28.6%) in MS− group, 63 (35.6%) in MS+ group, and 25 (49.0%) in MS++ group. The cox regression analysis with tumor recurrence as the endpoint was summarized in Table 2. MS pattern, age ≥65 (P=0.043), and CEA serum level ≥10 ng/mL (P=0.003) were independent risk factors for tumor recurrence. Interestingly, chemotherapy was not associated with the tumor recurrence when analysis was based on overall patients.
Table 2
| Variable | Univariate analysis | Multivariate analysis | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HR | 95% CI | P | HR | 95% CI | P | ||
| Age (≥65) | 1.396 | 1.011–1.927 | 0.043 | 1.504 | 1.077–2.099 | 0.017 | |
| Sex (female) | 1.160 | 0.995–1.351 | 0.057 | 1.091 | 0.932–1.276 | 0.277 | |
| Smoking history (yes) | 1.170 | 0.805–1.699 | 0.411 | – | – | – | |
| CEA (≥10 ng/mL) | 1.968 | 1.255–3.084 | 0.003 | 1.658 | 1.048–2.623 | 0.031 | |
| Tumor size (>3 cm) | 1.694 | 1.232–2.330 | 0.001 | 1.332 | 0.951–1.866 | 0.095 | |
| Visceral pleural invasion (present) | 0.705 | 0.464–1.072 | 0.102 | – | – | – | |
| Surgical approach (open thoracotomy) | 1.004 | 0.737–1.367 | 0.982 | – | – | – | |
| Type of resection (sublobar resection) | 1.809 | 0.953–3.433 | 0.07 | – | – | – | |
| Adjuvant chemotherapy (yes) | 0.790 | 0.558–1.119 | 0.185 | – | – | – | |
| Micropapillary/solid pattern | – | – | <0.001 | – | – | 0.001 | |
| Absent | 1.000 | – | – | 1.000 | – | – | |
| Non-predominant | 1.437 | 1.030–2.006 | 0.033 | 1.266 | 0.898–1.785 | 0.178 | |
| Predominant | 2.818 | 1.792–4.432 | <0.001 | 2.529 | 1.550–4.126 | <0.001 | |
| Differentiation grade | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Well | 1.000 | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Moderately | 1.267 | 0.889–1.807 | 0.191 | – | – | – | |
| Poorly | 0.786 | 0.504–1.225 | 0.288 | – | – | – | |
HR, hazard ratio; CI, confidence interval; CEA, carcinoembryonic antigen.
Among the three subgroups of MS pattern, RFS was significantly different with patients in MS- subgroup showing the best outcome (P<0.001; Figure 2A), and similar results were obtained when patients treated with surgery alone (P<0.001; Figure 2B). In univariate analysis, the MS+ [hazard ratio (HR), 1.437; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.030–2.006; P=0.033] and MS++ (HR, 2.818; 95% CI, 1.792–4.432; P<0.001) groups had significantly poor prognosis compared with MS− group. In multivariate survival analysis, HR was 1.266 (95% CI, 0.898–1.785, P=0.178) for MS+ versus MS− and 2.529 (95% CI, 1.550–4.126, P<0.001) for MS++ versus MS−.
Predictive value of subgroup for ACT benefit
When analysis was performed for overall patients, no significant benefit in RFS was recognized from ACT (P=0.176; Figure 3A). However, in the subgroup analysis based on MS pattern, no RFS benefit from ACT was found in MS− subgroup (P=0.581, Figure 3B), a nonsignificant trend toward a RFS benefit from ACT was observed in the MS+ subgroup (P=0.108; Figure 3C), and a substantial ACT benefit was identified in the MS++ subgroup (P=0.043; Figure 3D). Among the patients with MS++, ACT benefit was significant for RFS (HR, 0.357; 95% CI, 0.152–0.836; P=0.018) and older age (HR, 6.428; 95% CI, 2.495–16.560; P<0.001) was a significant prognostic factor for a worse probability of RFS on univariate and multivariate analysis (Table 3). Additionally, we found that a CEA serum level ≥10 ng/mL was associated with ACT benefit (P=0.026; Figure S1A) but age ≥65 was not (P=0.281; Figure S1B). In subgroup of patients with a CEA serum level ≥10 ng/mL, age and ACT were independent prognosis predictor (Table S1).
Kaplan-Meier survival curves for recurrence-free survival according to adjuvant chemotherapy: (A) all patients; (B) patients with absent micropapillary or solid pattern adenocarcinoma (MS−); (C) patients with non-predominant micropapillary or solid pattern adenocarcinoma (MS+); (D) patients with predominant micropapillary or solid pattern adenocarcinoma (MS++).
Table 3
| Variable | Univariate analysis | Multivariate analysis | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HR | 95% CI | P | HR | 95% CI | P | ||
| Age (≥65) | 5.158 | 2.153–12.358 | <0.001 | 6.428 | 2.495–16.560 | <0.001 | |
| Sex (female) | 0.977 | 0.649–1.471 | 0.912 | – | – | – | |
| Smoking history (yes) | 0.924 | 0.386–2.213 | 0.859 | – | – | – | |
| CEA (≥10 ng/mL) | 0.921 | 0.275–3.087 | 0.894 | – | – | – | |
| Tumor size (>3 cm) | 0.970 | 0.442–2.128 | 0.940 | – | – | – | |
| Visceral pleural invasion (present) | 0.636 | 0.264–1.528 | 0.311 | – | – | – | |
| Surgical approach (open thoracotomy) | 0.601 | 0.251–1.443 | 0.255 | – | – | – | |
| Type of resection (sublobar resection) | 1.426 | 0.191–10.620 | 0.729 | – | – | – | |
| Differentiation grade | – | – | – | ||||
| Well | 1.000 | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Moderately | 0.691 | 0.286–1.668 | 0.411 | – | – | – | |
| Poorly | 1.104 | 0.383–3.179 | 0.855 | – | – | – | |
| Adjuvant chemotherapy (yes) | 0.433 | 0.191–0.983 | 0.045 | 0.357 | 0.152–0.836 | 0.018 | |
HR, hazard ratio; CI, confidence interval; CEA, carcinoembryonic antigen.
Table S1
| Variables | HR | 95% CI | P |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age (≥65) | 5.338 | 1.611–17.684 | 0.006 |
| Sex (female) | 2.09 | 0.428–10.236 | 0.362 |
| Smoking history (yes) | 7.634 | 0.997–58.467 | 0.054 |
| Tumor size (>3 cm) | 1.047 | 0.313–3.496 | 0.941 |
| Visceral pleural invasion (present) | 1.470 | 0.30–9.390 | 0.684 |
| Surgical approach (open thoracotomy) | 1.216 | 0.327–4.512 | 0.771 |
| Type of resection (sublobar resection) | 5.450 | 0.440–67.511 | 0.187 |
| Adjuvant chemotherapy | 0.167 | 0.032–0.880 | 0.035 |
| Micropapillary/solid pattern | – | – | – |
| Absent | 1.000 | – | – |
| Non-predominant | 3.240 | 0.819-12.817 | 0.094 |
| Predominant | 4.152 | 0.704-24.498 | 0.116 |
| Differentiation grade | – | – | – |
| Well | 1.000 | – | – |
| Moderately | 0.721 | 0.152–3.414 | 0.680 |
| Poorly | 0.706 | 0.100–4.982 | 0.727 |
HR, hazard ratio; CI, confidence interval; CEA, carcinoembryonic antigen.
Clinicopathologic characteristics
Baseline characteristics and clinical features of these patients are listed in Table 1. Four hundred and ninety-seven patients were included and 105 were excluded for the presence of multiple lung cancers (n=37), incomplete follow-up data (n=68). The median age at diagnosis was 61 years (range, 34–90 years), and most patients had no smoking history (n=398) with normal serum level of carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) (n=455). Tumor size was greater than 3 cm in 134 (27.0%) patients, and VPI was presented in 435 (87.5%) patients. Twenty-two (4.4%) patients underwent sublobar resection, which was more likely to be performed for older patients due to limited lung function. Among the 363 patients with tumor size less than 3 cm, 357 were staged as IB because of the existence of pleural invasion, and the other 6 were due to tumor invasion beyond lobar bronchus. Histopathological assessment shown that 269 (54.1%) patients were MS−; 177 (35.6%) were MS+; 51 (10.3%) were MS++. And the median percentage of MS component was 10% (5–25%) and 55% (25–75%) in the MS+ and MS++ group, respectively. Among all patients, ACT was performed in 149 (30.0%) patients. The ACT was significantly associated with older age (P=0.007) and MS pattern (P=0.007). The median follow-up time was 38.6 months (range, 1.7–96.6 months).
Table 1
| Characteristic | All patients (N=497) | Surgical intervention alone (N=348) | With adjuvant chemotherapy (N=149) | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Age, y, no. (%) | 0.007 | |||
| <65 | 355 (71.4) | 261 (75.0) | 94 (63.1) | |
| ≥65 | 142 (28.6) | 87 (25.0) | 55 (36.9) | |
| Sex, no. (%) | 0.356 | |||
| Female | 288 (57.9) | 197 (56.6) | 58 (38.9) | |
| Male | 209 (42.1) | 151 (43.4) | 91 (61.1) | |
| Smoking history, no. (%) | 0.680 | |||
| Yes | 99 (19.9) | 71 (20.4) | 28 (18.8) | |
| No | 398 (80.1) | 277 (79.6) | 121 (81.2) | |
| CEA (ng/mL), no. (%) | 0.886 | |||
| <10 | 455 (91.5) | 319 (91.7) | 136 (91.3) | |
| ≥10 | 42 (8.5) | 29 (8.3) | 13 (8.7) | |
| Tumor size (cm), no. (%) | 0.484 | |||
| ≤3 | 363 (73.0) | 251 (72.1) | 112 (75.2) | |
| >3 | 134 (27.0) | 97 (27.9) | 37 (24.8) | |
| Visceral pleural invasion, no. (%) | 0.057 | |||
| Absent | 62 (12.5) | 37 (10.6) | 25 (16.8) | |
| Present | 435 (87.5) | 311 (89.4) | 124 (83.2) | |
| Differentiation grade, no. (%) | <0.001 | |||
| Well | 147 (29.5) | 122 (35.1) | 25 (16.8) | |
| Moderately | 221 (44.5) | 148 (42.5) | 73 (49.0) | |
| Poorly | 129 (26.0) | 78 (22.4) | 51 (34.2) | |
| Surgical approach, no. (%) | 0.791 | |||
| VATS | 278 (55.9) | 196 (56.3) | 82 (55.0) | |
| Open thoracotomy | 219 (44.1) | 152 (43.7) | 67 (45.0) | |
| Type of resection, no. (%) | 0.167 | |||
| Sublobar resection | 22 (4.4) | 12 (3.4) | 10 (6.7) | |
| Lobectomy | 475 (95.6) | 336 (96.6) | 139 (93.3) | |
| Micropapillary/solid pattern, no. (%) | 0.007 | |||
| Absent | 269 (54.1) | 202 (58.0) | 67 (45.0) | |
| Non-predominant | 177 (35.6) | 118 (33.9) | 59 (39.6) | |
| Predominant | 51 (10.3) | 28 (8.0) | 23 (15.4) |
CEA, carcinoembryonic antigen; VATS, video-assisted thoracic surgery.
Prognostic value of MS pattern
During the follow-up, tumor recurrence was observed in 165 (33.2%) patients with 77 (28.6%) in MS− group, 63 (35.6%) in MS+ group, and 25 (49.0%) in MS++ group. The cox regression analysis with tumor recurrence as the endpoint was summarized in Table 2. MS pattern, age ≥65 (P=0.043), and CEA serum level ≥10 ng/mL (P=0.003) were independent risk factors for tumor recurrence. Interestingly, chemotherapy was not associated with the tumor recurrence when analysis was based on overall patients.
Table 2
| Variable | Univariate analysis | Multivariate analysis | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HR | 95% CI | P | HR | 95% CI | P | ||
| Age (≥65) | 1.396 | 1.011–1.927 | 0.043 | 1.504 | 1.077–2.099 | 0.017 | |
| Sex (female) | 1.160 | 0.995–1.351 | 0.057 | 1.091 | 0.932–1.276 | 0.277 | |
| Smoking history (yes) | 1.170 | 0.805–1.699 | 0.411 | – | – | – | |
| CEA (≥10 ng/mL) | 1.968 | 1.255–3.084 | 0.003 | 1.658 | 1.048–2.623 | 0.031 | |
| Tumor size (>3 cm) | 1.694 | 1.232–2.330 | 0.001 | 1.332 | 0.951–1.866 | 0.095 | |
| Visceral pleural invasion (present) | 0.705 | 0.464–1.072 | 0.102 | – | – | – | |
| Surgical approach (open thoracotomy) | 1.004 | 0.737–1.367 | 0.982 | – | – | – | |
| Type of resection (sublobar resection) | 1.809 | 0.953–3.433 | 0.07 | – | – | – | |
| Adjuvant chemotherapy (yes) | 0.790 | 0.558–1.119 | 0.185 | – | – | – | |
| Micropapillary/solid pattern | – | – | <0.001 | – | – | 0.001 | |
| Absent | 1.000 | – | – | 1.000 | – | – | |
| Non-predominant | 1.437 | 1.030–2.006 | 0.033 | 1.266 | 0.898–1.785 | 0.178 | |
| Predominant | 2.818 | 1.792–4.432 | <0.001 | 2.529 | 1.550–4.126 | <0.001 | |
| Differentiation grade | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Well | 1.000 | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Moderately | 1.267 | 0.889–1.807 | 0.191 | – | – | – | |
| Poorly | 0.786 | 0.504–1.225 | 0.288 | – | – | – | |
HR, hazard ratio; CI, confidence interval; CEA, carcinoembryonic antigen.
Among the three subgroups of MS pattern, RFS was significantly different with patients in MS- subgroup showing the best outcome (P<0.001; Figure 2A), and similar results were obtained when patients treated with surgery alone (P<0.001; Figure 2B). In univariate analysis, the MS+ [hazard ratio (HR), 1.437; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.030–2.006; P=0.033] and MS++ (HR, 2.818; 95% CI, 1.792–4.432; P<0.001) groups had significantly poor prognosis compared with MS− group. In multivariate survival analysis, HR was 1.266 (95% CI, 0.898–1.785, P=0.178) for MS+ versus MS− and 2.529 (95% CI, 1.550–4.126, P<0.001) for MS++ versus MS−.
Kaplan-Meier survival curves for recurrence-free survival according to the presence of micropapillary or solid pattern: (A) all patients; (B) patients treated with surgery alone.
Predictive value of subgroup for ACT benefit
When analysis was performed for overall patients, no significant benefit in RFS was recognized from ACT (P=0.176; Figure 3A). However, in the subgroup analysis based on MS pattern, no RFS benefit from ACT was found in MS− subgroup (P=0.581, Figure 3B), a nonsignificant trend toward a RFS benefit from ACT was observed in the MS+ subgroup (P=0.108; Figure 3C), and a substantial ACT benefit was identified in the MS++ subgroup (P=0.043; Figure 3D). Among the patients with MS++, ACT benefit was significant for RFS (HR, 0.357; 95% CI, 0.152–0.836; P=0.018) and older age (HR, 6.428; 95% CI, 2.495–16.560; P<0.001) was a significant prognostic factor for a worse probability of RFS on univariate and multivariate analysis (Table 3). Additionally, we found that a CEA serum level ≥10 ng/mL was associated with ACT benefit (P=0.026; Figure S1A) but age ≥65 was not (P=0.281; Figure S1B). In subgroup of patients with a CEA serum level ≥10 ng/mL, age and ACT were independent prognosis predictor (Table S1).
Kaplan-Meier survival curves for recurrence-free survival according to adjuvant chemotherapy: (A) all patients; (B) patients with absent micropapillary or solid pattern adenocarcinoma (MS−); (C) patients with non-predominant micropapillary or solid pattern adenocarcinoma (MS+); (D) patients with predominant micropapillary or solid pattern adenocarcinoma (MS++).
Table 3
| Variable | Univariate analysis | Multivariate analysis | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HR | 95% CI | P | HR | 95% CI | P | ||
| Age (≥65) | 5.158 | 2.153–12.358 | <0.001 | 6.428 | 2.495–16.560 | <0.001 | |
| Sex (female) | 0.977 | 0.649–1.471 | 0.912 | – | – | – | |
| Smoking history (yes) | 0.924 | 0.386–2.213 | 0.859 | – | – | – | |
| CEA (≥10 ng/mL) | 0.921 | 0.275–3.087 | 0.894 | – | – | – | |
| Tumor size (>3 cm) | 0.970 | 0.442–2.128 | 0.940 | – | – | – | |
| Visceral pleural invasion (present) | 0.636 | 0.264–1.528 | 0.311 | – | – | – | |
| Surgical approach (open thoracotomy) | 0.601 | 0.251–1.443 | 0.255 | – | – | – | |
| Type of resection (sublobar resection) | 1.426 | 0.191–10.620 | 0.729 | – | – | – | |
| Differentiation grade | – | – | – | ||||
| Well | 1.000 | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Moderately | 0.691 | 0.286–1.668 | 0.411 | – | – | – | |
| Poorly | 1.104 | 0.383–3.179 | 0.855 | – | – | – | |
| Adjuvant chemotherapy (yes) | 0.433 | 0.191–0.983 | 0.045 | 0.357 | 0.152–0.836 | 0.018 | |
HR, hazard ratio; CI, confidence interval; CEA, carcinoembryonic antigen.
Table S1
| Variables | HR | 95% CI | P |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age (≥65) | 5.338 | 1.611–17.684 | 0.006 |
| Sex (female) | 2.09 | 0.428–10.236 | 0.362 |
| Smoking history (yes) | 7.634 | 0.997–58.467 | 0.054 |
| Tumor size (>3 cm) | 1.047 | 0.313–3.496 | 0.941 |
| Visceral pleural invasion (present) | 1.470 | 0.30–9.390 | 0.684 |
| Surgical approach (open thoracotomy) | 1.216 | 0.327–4.512 | 0.771 |
| Type of resection (sublobar resection) | 5.450 | 0.440–67.511 | 0.187 |
| Adjuvant chemotherapy | 0.167 | 0.032–0.880 | 0.035 |
| Micropapillary/solid pattern | – | – | – |
| Absent | 1.000 | – | – |
| Non-predominant | 3.240 | 0.819-12.817 | 0.094 |
| Predominant | 4.152 | 0.704-24.498 | 0.116 |
| Differentiation grade | – | – | – |
| Well | 1.000 | – | – |
| Moderately | 0.721 | 0.152–3.414 | 0.680 |
| Poorly | 0.706 | 0.100–4.982 | 0.727 |
HR, hazard ratio; CI, confidence interval; CEA, carcinoembryonic antigen.
Discussion
According to National Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN) guideline, only patients with high-risk factors including vascular invasion, visceral pleura invasion, tumor size >4 cm, wedge resection, or unknown lymph mode status are recommended receiving ACT. Except for tumors size >4 cm, there are no prospective randomized clinical trials having validated the correlation between the ACT benefit and these high-risk factors (6). Additionally, with the 8th TNM classification (7), lung carcinoma >4 cm in greatest dimension has changed from stage IB to stage IIA. Therefore, the necessity of ACT in stage IB needs to be re-evaluated. In this study, no survival benefit from ACT was found on the level of the whole population, which confirmed that the ACT should be individualized in patients with IB stage lung adenocarcinoma. Therefore, we need to re-assess the role of these high-risk factors in selecting candidates for ACT in patients with IB lung adenocarcinoma.
Lung adenocarcinoma with MS++ was reported to have a poor prognosis (10,13). Our data validated the prognostic value of MS pattern in stage IB lung adenocarcinoma, and MS++ pattern was correlated with poor prognosis. Among patients with MS++ adenocarcinoma, the RFS was significantly increased for patients receiving ACT, and no benefit from ACT was identified in patients with MS- adenocarcinoma. These results suggested that MS++ pattern was a good indicator for selecting ACT candidates in patients with a stage IB lung adenocarcinoma. Based on a Lung Adjuvant Cisplatin Evaluation study (15), MS++ pattern is a predictive marker for survival benefit from ACT in patients with lung adenocarcinoma. Recently several studies (17-20) also validated the prognostic significance and predictive value of MS++ pattern in lung adenocarcinoma. These results demonstrated the importance of classifying lung adenocarcinomas into each histological subtype in routine practice in order to select high-risk patients with stage IB for postoperative ACT. Therefore, the MS++ pattern should be proposed as a stratification factor in the design of future clinical trials on ACT.
More importantly, our results demonstrated that the tumors with an MS+ pattern showed a significant poorer prognosis compared with those with MS- pattern. Similarly, Yanagawa et al. demonstrated that lung adenocarcinomas with MS pattern, regardless of predominance, were associated with a worse prognosis than those with MS− (21,22). Others showed that patients with MS+ adenocarcinoma have a poorer prognosis and higher rate of lymph node metastasis (23-25), which was independently associated with the risk of recurrence in patients treated with limited resection (26). According to these results, a semi-quantitative analysis of the MS pattern is warranted in clinical diagnosis for a more comprehensive description of tumor aggressiveness because of most adenocarcinomas consist of more than one growth pattern. Furthermore, a marginal ACT benefit was also observed in MS+ lung adenocarcinoma in our study. Zhao et al. previously demonstrated the prognosis of acinar/papillary adenocarcinoma with MS+ (secondary predominant pattern) was similar to those with MS++ (27). That may suggest that patients with MS+ adenocarcinoma need more quantitative and precise evaluation of MS+ pattern for ACT.
We performed a subgroup analysis for evaluating the ACT benefit in patients with other high risk-factors. As for patients with older age, our results showed that patients older than 65 had a significantly worse prognosis but not benefit from ACT. However, because sublobar resection was more likely to be performed for older patients, the prognosis effect of older age might be exaggerated in this study. Considering that older patients with advanced NSCLC are at higher risk for adverse events related to ACT of their disease (28), we hold that diagnosed age ≥65 should not be the indication for ACT in patients with stage IB lung adenocarcinoma. The Serum CEA level was associated with recurrence after complete resection (29) and provided an evidence in monitoring of tumor recurrence of NSCLC (30). In our study, the subgroup analysis showed a significant survival benefit from ACT among patients with higher serum CEA level (≥10 ng/mL) but not in multivariate analysis. Considering CEA as reliable marker of chemotherapy efficacy (31), we believe that higher serum CEA level (≥10 ng/mL) may be an indicator of ACT in patients with stage IB adenocarcinoma, which requires validation in further prospective and randomize control study.
Our study has some limitations. First, this retrospective study was carried out at a single institution with a small sample size, indicating possible selection bias. Additionally, ACT decision and the regimens selection were based on physician preference rather than randomization. Therefore, prospective multi-institutional randomized clinical trials are necessary to validate the results.
In conclusion, we have shown a significant prognosis correlation between RFS and high-risk factors in a cohort of 497 surgically resected lung adenocarcinoma with stage IB. Importantly, we found that the patients with MS++ adenocarcinoma had a better RFS outcomes following ACT, who may be candidates for ACT.
Kaplan-Meier survival curves for recurrence-free survival according to adjuvant chemotherapy. (A) Patients with serum CEV ≥10 ng/mL; (B) patients older than 65 years.
Abstract
Background
Our study aimed to evaluate the prognostic significance and adjuvant chemotherapy (ACT) benefits of a micropapillary/solid (MS) pattern in patients with stage IB lung adenocarcinoma.
Methods
Patients with pathologically-confirmed stage IB adenocarcinoma who underwent surgical resection between January 2009 and December 2011 were included. The tumors were reclassified into three categories: MS patterns absent (MS−); non-predominant MS patterns (MS+); predominant MS (MS++). The correlations of prognosis and ACT with recurrence-free survival (RFS) were evaluated.
Results
Overall, 497 (MS−, n=269; MS+, n=177; MS++, n=51) patients were enrolled in the study. In univariate analysis, the MS+ [hazard ratio (HR), 1.437; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.030–2.006; P=0.033] and MS++ (HR, 2.818; 95% CI, 1.792–4.432; P<0.001) groups had significantly poor prognosis compared with MS- group. Multivariate analysis revealed that age ≥65 (HR, 1.504; 95% CI, 1.077–2.099; P=0.017), serum level of carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) ≥10 ng/mL (HR, 1.658; 95% CI, 1.048–2.623; P=0.031) and MS++ (HR, 2.529; 95% CI, 1.550–4.126; P<0.001) were significant prognostic factors. Furthermore, subgroup analysis showed that MS++ patients but not MS− and MS+ derived RFS (recurrence-free survival) benefit from ACT (HR, 0.357; 95% CI, 0.152–0.836; P=0.018).
Conclusions
MS pattern successfully differentiated the prognosis difference among stage IB lung adenocarcinomas and identified patients who benefitted from ACT.
Acknowledgements
Funding: This work supported by technical research and development project of technology benefiting for people of Ningbo, Zhejiang Province, China [grant number 2015C50032], Science and Technology Commission of Shanghai Municipality [grant number 15695840600] and Shanghai Hospital Development Center [grant number 16CR3116B].
Notes
Ethical Statement: The Shanghai Pulmonary Hospital institutional ethics committee approved this retrospective study (IRB No. K18-101).
Footnotes
Conflicts of Interest: The authors have no conflicts of interest to declare.
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